Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 16.085018 18.334357 20.744097 23.512937 26.601563 29.935923 33.802862
2024-10-06 13.893474 17.145374 20.870173 25.432764 30.850057 37.054863 44.676521
2024-10-13 11.576241 15.384618 20.024850 26.048909 33.611583 42.736273 54.517134
2024-10-20 9.315598 13.303738 18.460398 25.533539 34.886991 46.724970 62.715539
2024-10-27 7.472608 11.443364 16.879192 24.734059 35.637664 50.058818 70.356838
2024-11-03 6.638956 10.818913 16.836831 25.936468 39.105855 57.187495 83.533205
2024-11-10 6.266117 10.794355 17.611228 28.336573 44.429213 67.243918 101.476635
2024-11-17 5.691798 10.360541 17.704715 29.715490 48.374939 75.650831 117.732562
2024-11-24 4.939481 9.512570 17.034375 29.822806 50.389375 81.373070 130.493560
2024-12-01 4.165936 8.496898 15.948652 29.119209 51.037154 85.046947 140.411190
2024-12-08 3.623997 7.801260 15.296748 29.027323 52.602316 90.175806 152.815438
2024-12-15 3.241068 7.337799 14.980716 29.449325 55.008320 96.741360 167.819413
2024-12-22 2.835000 6.775977 14.440141 29.461771 56.800158 102.575548 182.280512
2024-12-29 2.671671 6.687623 14.776957 31.100479 61.553576 113.614704 205.925142
2025-01-05 2.375731 6.261916 14.400959 31.359158 63.863182 120.695910 223.458638
2025-01-12 2.009354 5.607386 13.471989 30.438358 63.918937 123.886395 234.598261
2025-01-19 1.681342 4.975471 12.496103 29.299493 63.437740 126.062318 244.079000
2025-01-26 1.578514 4.882776 12.676595 30.549929 67.649395 136.908359 269.396389
2025-02-02 1.580249 5.062638 13.490098 33.214081 74.843308 153.618482 306.059222
2025-02-09 1.501311 5.010757 13.760354 34.724752 79.826304 166.502508 336.449595
2025-02-16 1.344163 4.709369 13.398590 34.797420 81.867395 173.957693 357.269357
2025-02-23 1.158468 4.283835 12.671792 33.958044 81.923662 177.595433 371.156207
2025-03-02 1.030927 4.005344 12.273375 33.830271 83.465484 184.182461 390.905049